Bitcoin (BTC) has not seen a significant recovery since the major crash in October 2025. Since that event, it has failed to enter a sustained upward trend, continuing to trade within a familiar cyclical pattern and a specific range.
Historical Consolidation Patterns
Market analyst James Van Straten has highlighted a historical pattern in Bitcoin's price movements. He noted that the Bitcoin price historically experienced a consolidation period of approximately 60 days before breaking out of that range and initiating an upward trend.
Currently, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 59 days. This period spans from its low of around $80,000 in November to its high of around $98,000 in January. According to the analyst, the BTC price is presently within a roughly 60-day timeframe, which is similar to previous instances of consolidation after hitting lows. This suggests that a bullish breakout may be approaching, as in each of the previous instances, the Bitcoin price moved out of its established range after approximately 60 days of consolidation.
Previous Instances of Similar Consolidation
Bitcoin experienced a similar situation in April 2025, amidst the disputes surrounding US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. The analyst stated that "Bitcoin bottomed out around $76,000 and remained between that level and $85,000 for approximately 52 days before experiencing an upward breakout."
Another comparable period occurred at the beginning of 2024. Between December 2023 and February 2024, Bitcoin consolidated between $40,000 and $50,000 for approximately 57 days. Following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, it experienced a major breakout in March 2024.
A more significant historical parallel can be drawn from the FTX crash. Following the FTX crash, which marked the bottom of the previous cycle, Bitcoin consolidated around the $15,000 level for approximately 62 days. This period of consolidation concluded with a breakout in January 2023, which is recognized as the commencement of a new bull cycle for Bitcoin.