Today’s US market activity is limited to half a day, while Bitcoin continues its trajectory above $91,000, signaling a potential pause in its recent downturn. Although there have been slight recoveries among altcoins, substantial rebounds from their previous lows remain elusive. Contrary to conventional opinions, Quinten advises focusing on the year 2026 for more promising prospects.
Predictions for 2026
Quinten disputes the common belief that bull markets adhere to a strict four-year cycle theory. Even as November sales surged, with 2025 anticipated as a year of gains following 2021, Quinten argues otherwise. He suggests that if the cycle theory holds, a series of permanent losses would begin now, challenging this anticipation with an alternative perspective.
“Many believe Bitcoin operates in conjunction with halving cycles. This is incorrect.
Bitcoin functions based on liquidity, policy, and the US business cycle. This cycle hasn’t even begun yet.
Expect fireworks in 2026:
– The end of QT
– US midterm elections
– A booming economy and stock market due to re-election motivation
– In May 2026, a QE-supportive president will replace Jerome Powell
– SLR amendments”
If the December Fed decision doesn’t adopt a more static approach to interest rates, Quinten’s theory could prove accurate. However, Jerome Powell’s intentions remain unknown. The Fed might decide by then to halt rate reductions, citing alignment with the neutral rate. Powell’s current term extends until May, adding uncertainty.
Will Current Trends Persist?
Kyle, on the other hand, displays skepticism and grapples with short-term market pessimism. Bitcoin’s valuation has been tethered under the STH cost base for weeks, and demand is not proportionate. Interestingly, the upward momentum has so far avoided triggering substantial sell-offs, though for how long is uncertain.
“The price is stuck between $81,000-$89,000; the same range witnessed post-2022 peak. Low inflows and weak liquidity apply the same pressure.”
For the ETHBTC pair, predictions hint at impending significant changes, with prices nearing the 200MA. DaanCrypto foresees Ethereum benefiting from Bitcoin’s rise.
“If Bitcoin continues to climb, Ethereum is expected to perform well too. The invalidation level for ETH/BTC is below 0.032.”
Factors Shaping the Future
As 2026 approaches, important drivers like liquidity, US economic policies, and significant political events may shape the future trajectory of the cryptocurrency market. Key factors to watch include:
- •An upcoming shift in the US monetary policy landscape.
- •Potential changes in Federal Reserve leadership and strategy.
- •The influence of mid-term elections on market behaviors.
The landscape for cryptocurrencies is poised for potentially significant shifts, with the anticipation for 2026 mounting. Insight into these evolving dynamics can guide strategic decisions for stakeholders within the crypto community as they navigate these uncertain but exciting times ahead.