Galaxy’s Warning to XRP Holders
In a recent post on X, Galaxy highlighted that XRP’s chart is showing signs of extreme compression. According to the analyst, this tightening price action is happening just beneath the all-time high region, making the setup even more significant.
If XRP successfully breaks through this ceiling, it would mark a transition into price discovery—a phase where new highs are set without prior resistance levels.
Galaxy’s perspective carries weight, not only because of its influence in crypto markets but also because institutional players like Galaxy Digital have been expanding their involvement in assets such as XRP. This growing recognition from larger firms underscores how pivotal the coming breakout could be.
$XRP price action is getting very compressed.
Expecting strong moves as this breakout will coincide with breaking out the previous ATH, and price discovery. pic.twitter.com/UBqusThnYH
— Galaxy (@galaxyBTC) September 29, 2025
Technical Compression: A Market Ready to Expand
Technical analysts describe XRP’s current structure as a “coil,” with price moving in a narrowing range while volatility steadily declines. Daily trading ranges have narrowed, and volatility indicators such as the Average True Range (ATR) have dropped to their lowest levels in months.
This kind of compression rarely lasts long. Once buying or selling pressure tips the balance, breakouts tend to be sharp and decisive. Traders are closely watching the $3 psychological level, which sits just under XRP’s historical peak. A clean break above it with volume confirmation could set the stage for rapid upside acceleration.
On-Chain Activity Points to Tension
Beyond charts, on-chain data support the narrative of brewing volatility. CryptoQuant data recently showed a surge in XRP reserves on exchanges, reaching a seven-month high. This kind of movement can indicate two possible scenarios: holders preparing to sell into strength or traders positioning liquidity for large orders.
At the same time, whale wallets have shown alternating patterns of accumulation and distribution. Such conflicting signals often characterize periods just before major price swings. In short, liquidity is building, but the direction of the release remains to be seen.
Institutional Interest and the ATH Question
In 2025, institutional sentiment around XRP has improved markedly, thanks to Ripple’s partnerships and ongoing XRPL developments. With their considerable capital, large market players can amplify XRP’s price swings.
Another factor fueling debate is the definition of XRP’s all-time high. According to various data sources, XRP’s peak price ranges from $3.40 to $3.84, which was last seen in January 2018.
This discrepancy creates uncertainty about the precise breakout trigger level, but it also amplifies the importance of the $3+ zone. Once breached decisively, traders expect strong momentum to carry XRP higher.
What Comes Next for XRP Holders
With XRP trading at the edge of historical resistance, the stakes are clear. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the ATH band, supported by rising volume and futures open interest. Exchange inflows and outflows will also be crucial: large inflows may foreshadow near-term selling, while persistent outflows often precede sustained rallies.
Whether XRP surges into price discovery or faces rejection at resistance, one fact remains constant—markets do not stay compressed forever. The coming move is likely to be swift and powerful.
In conclusion, XRP is at a crossroads where technical compression, institutional interest, and historical resistance converge. Galaxy’s analysis serves as a timely reminder to holders: the market’s silence is deceptive.
Once XRP resolves its tight structure, the resulting move could redefine its trajectory. For investors, this is not the time to ignore XRP’s chart—it may soon be writing its next chapter in bold.