- •Clearing and holding $0.485 would print a higher high and signal a potential trend shift.
- •Rising volume on green candles and lighter pullbacks would validate demand and sustain upside.
- •Targets sit at $0.54–$0.60 and $0.68–$0.72, while a weekly close below the wick midpoint resets the downtrend.
A sharp wick and rebound put Arbitrum’s ARB back on technical watch. Price now challenges a key resistance cluster. Traders assess whether momentum can clear $0.485 and start a structure change.
ARB Eyes Breakout: Watching the $0.485 Gate
Price sits within a long downtrend channel yet shows a spike-and-reversal pattern. The wick tested lower liquidity and closed back higher. Therefore, the pattern hints at responsive buying but needs confirmation.
$ARB is looking great for accumulation here.
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) October 11, 2025
It's one of the most active Layer 2's and I'm considering to be adding this one to the portfolio.
Level of $0.485 needs to break and then we're ready to go! pic.twitter.com/j2GiZvpF4U
The cited trigger near $0.485 aligns with recent lower‑high supply. It also matches the 20–30 period moving average cluster. A decisive daily and weekly close above it would matter.
Momentum remains negative because moving averages still slope down. However, acceptance above $0.485 would mark the first meaningful higher high. Then structure could shift from distribution to early recovery.
Volume Pattern and Accumulation Read
Volume expanded on recent candles and signaled aggressive activity around the lows. Such expansion often accompanies forced selling and early accumulation. Yet the following bars look mixed and uneven.
For an accumulation thesis, volume should rise on green candles. It should also contract on controlled pullbacks into support. That behavior would confirm improving demand.
If volume fades into resistance, supply likely remains active. In that case, rallies may stall under the moving averages. Therefore, the breakout case would weaken.
Risk, Levels, and Context
Risk framing remains essential during base building. A weekly close below the long wick’s midpoint would invalidate the setup. A break under the recent swing low would also restore the downtrend.
If price clears $0.485 and holds, upside zones emerge. Initial targets cluster around $0.54–$0.60. A later band appears near $0.68–$0.72.
Arbitrum remains one of the most active Layer‑2 networks. Network activity can attract flows during broader market strength. Even so, the chart still needs a higher low, a breakout, and a successful retest.