Aster ($ASTER) has launched a powerful, market-defying rally, driven by its “$10M Double Harvest” campaign and significant whale accumulation, which pushed the price past the critical $1.28 resistance. This incentivized surge is supported by ongoing buybacks and delayed token unlocks, aligning short-term speculative interest. Can this aggressive momentum endure amid broader market uncertainty and address the long-term risk of its locked supply?
ASTER Key Statistics
- •Current Price: $1.37
- •Market Cap: $3.19 billion
- •Trading Volume (24h): $1.30 billion
- •Circulating Supply: 1.37 billion ASTER
- •Total Supply: 8 billion ASTER
- •CoinMarketCap Ranking: #34
ASTER has climbed 6.13% from its peak over the last 30 and 7 days, showing steady strength amid market swings. Compared to its lowest prices during the same periods, the token has jumped 62.82% and 33.77%, underlining significant recovery momentum. These movements suggest that ASTER is attracting renewed buying interest and maintaining a positive trajectory in the short term.
ASTER/USD Market Analysis
Key Levels
- •Resistance: $1.50, $1.60, $2.00
- •Support: $1.20, $1.00, $0.89
The ASTER/USD daily chart shows a 16.16% rise to $1.3726 as of November 18, 2025 (9:52 UTC). The price is trading above the Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2), which now acts as support near $1.00 following the strong rebound from $0.85. The RSI Divergence Indicator (14, close) at 61.19 remains in bullish territory with no divergence, holding above 60 to confirm momentum as volume rises on the green surge. Price has established higher lows and is pushing against the $1.40 level, building on the uptrend since early November. Resistance levels are at $1.50 (recent swing high), $1.60 (round-number barrier), and $2.00 (bullish extension target based on adoption forecasts). Support levels stand at $1.20 (SAR cluster), $1.00 (trendline base), and $0.89 (November low).
If ASTER closes above $1.38 with sustained volume, a move to $1.50 is likely this week. A firm break there could target $1.60 and extend to $2.00 by early December in a strong adoption scenario. Conversely, if profit-taking emerges and price falls below $1.20 on increased red volume, expect a test of $1.00 soon. A confirmed close under that shifts bias bearish and opens the door to $0.89. The trend stays bullish above $1.20, but the RSI dropping below 50 would signal early pullback risks.
ASTER/USD 4h Chart Analysis
The ASTER/USD 4-hour chart shows a clear bullish trend, with the price up 16.16% to $1.3726 as of November 18, 2025. The token trades well above the Parabolic SAR, which acts as strong support near $1.14, while the RSI Divergence Indicator sits at 67.53, comfortably in bullish territory with no signs of divergence. Green candles form with increasing volume following the sharp rebound from $0.8183, suggesting that momentum remains firmly in buyers’ favor and setting the stage for further near-term gains as long as the SAR holds.
Adding to this positive outlook, a recent post by @Eagle_OX, who has over 56,000 X followers, highlights ASTER’s potential to become the leading perpetual DEX and a top privacy token. The post emphasizes ASTER’s deflationary design, supported by ongoing buybacks, which significantly tightens supply and enhances scarcity, particularly with a market cap of only $3 billion. With $52 million of ASTER already repurchased, continued buybacks may further reinforce its value proposition, indicating that both technical momentum and structural tokenomics align to support bullish prospects.
Buybacks, Airdrops, and Technical Breakout: Is $ASTER Poised for a Major Run?
Aster’s recent “Double Harvest” campaign, launched on November 17, creates a strong bullish catalyst by incentivizing trading volume through a $10M rewards pool and a Stage 4 airdrop (1.5% of supply). This initiative has already aligned with a surge in daily volume (+76.85% on November 17), suggesting that traders are actively participating to earn rewards. If daily volume remains above $1B post-campaign, the continued buy pressure and the use of 50% of fees for $ASTER buybacks could absorb supply and further support price growth. Combined with the technical breakout above $1.28 and significant whale accumulation of $53M since early November, these factors could reinforce bullish momentum in the near term.
On the tokenomics front, delaying major unlocks from 2025 to 2026–2035 provides short-term relief by easing immediate sell-side pressure. Meanwhile, ongoing buybacks—at $7.5K per minute, half of which are burned—help reduce net inflation and support scarcity. However, with 6.35B tokens (75% of supply) still locked, long-term dilution risks remain. Therefore, while speculative trading incentives and technical momentum create a compelling setup, the sustainability of ASTER’s rally depends on maintaining high trading volume and managing the eventual token unlocks. Can ASTER sustain its momentum and hold above $1.28 amid these dynamics and broader market uncertainty?