How Historical Trends Impact Bitcoin’s October Performance?
October, often referred to in the crypto circles as “Uptober”, is traditionally a favorable month for Bitcoin. Historically, since 2013, Bitcoin has predominantly ended October with positive returns, achieving gains in the month ten times and losses only twice. Coinglass statistics reveal an average return of 20.51% for October, underscoring the optimistic sentiment associated with this period.
November historically even outshines October, boasting an average return of 46.02%. These figures contribute to the favorable expectations surrounding Bitcoin’s performance in the upcoming months.
What Does the US Government Shutdown Mean for Crypto ETFs?
Not all trends are clearly bullish, even as Bitcoin sees gains. The ongoing US government shutdown has stalled numerous crypto ETF applications at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). More than 90 filings, including those for competitors like Solana and XRP, are now postponed until normal operations resume. These delays introduce a level of uncertainty within the crypto market.
An industry insider expressed concerns, stating,
“The regulatory delay adds uncertainty, but the sheer number of applications indicates strong demand once normal operations resume.”
This optimism points toward potential market activity once the SEC resumes its operations.
The pause in SEC operations has curtailed progress on crypto ETFs, leaving investors in anticipation. Despite these setbacks, the applications reflect a continued desire for regulated digital asset investment vehicles, setting the stage for potential market movements post‑shutdown.
The possible approval of these ETFs is expected to enhance confidence in adopting crypto assets more broadly. An analyst commented,
“Whether the weeks ahead will be labeled ‘Uptober’ remains uncertain, but there’s definitely potential for ‘Moonvember’ and ‘Bullcember’,” highlighting optimism across the market.”
The unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency markets means both potential opportunities and challenges. Those interested in Bitcoin should remain informed about macroeconomic factors and market trends.