Bybit and Block Scholes released a report on January 15, 2026, showing improved sentiment in crypto derivatives as Bitcoin surged to a two-month high near $98,000.
This indicates a positive market shift with increased open interest and higher altcoin funding rates, suggesting potential volatility amid geopolitical and monetary policy uncertainties.
Derivatives Market Analysis
The latest Crypto Derivatives Analytics report from Bybit and Block Scholes shows a marked improvement in derivatives sentiment. Bitcoin's recent rise to a two-month high of $98,000 has uplifted the market landscape.
The report highlights rising perpetual futures open interest, exceeding $8 billion across major tokens. Han Tan, Chief Market Analyst at Bybit, remarks on Bitcoin's resilience amid geopolitical shocks and emphasizes potential turbulence ahead.
"Cryptos have braved past geopolitical shockers at the onset of 2026, appearing intent on catching up with other risk assets. Recent gains bode well for our 2026 Bitcoin target of $150,000, though the road ahead will likely be marked by turbulence as geopolitical and U.S. monetary policy risks cloud the macro outlook." — Han Tan, Chief Market Analyst at Bybit Learn
Altcoin Market Activity and Confidence
The cryptocurrency market, buoyed by Bitcoin's rally, has seen increased open interest, especially in altcoins like SOL, XRP, and DOGE. This points to improved trader confidence and market activity.
Important financial shifts, such as higher funding rates for certain altcoins, signal a positive market sentiment. However, geopolitical and U.S. monetary policy risks continue to threaten stability.
Market Indicators and Future Outlook
Numerous factors, including a neutral volatility skew in short-dated BTC and ETH options, play crucial roles in sustaining market optimism. Futures premiums remain high, indicating investor confidence in current trends.
Historical data suggests similar patterns, with past Bitcoin rallies leading to shifts in market sentiment. Analysts suggest closely monitoring geopolitical and regulatory changes for potential impacts on the market.