Veteran chartist Crypto Tony just delivered one of the cleanest macro updates of the cycle. In a single tweet on December 2, 2025, he highlighted that Bitcoin had wicked straight into the gigantic Fair Value Gap (FVG) left on the higher-timeframe charts around $87,200 – and immediately bounced with authority. According to Tony, the downside risk from current levels is now "less than 1%," effectively declaring the correction over.
For those unfamiliar, a Fair Value Gap appears when price moves so aggressively that an area on the chart is left with little to no trading activity, creating inefficiency. The market has a magnetic tendency to return and "fill" these gaps before continuing the primary trend. Bitcoin’s sharp 15%+ drop from the recent all-time high did exactly that: it swept liquidity below $90k, tagged the FVG to the dollar, and reversed. The speed and precision of the fill has convinced many large traders that this was the final shakeout of the entire post-election rally. With the gap now repaired, there is virtually no significant sell-side liquidity left between spot price and new all-time highs.
Market Analysis from Crypto Tony
On-chain data supports the bullish resolution: exchange balances continue to plummet, long-term holder supply is at record levels, and the 200-day moving average sits miles below at ~$68k. Meanwhile, open interest in perpetual futures has reset, reducing the risk of cascading liquidations on the way up.
Crypto Tony’s track record during the 2024–2025 bull run has been exceptional, and his calm “look at that FVG ahead of us – hold $87,200 and we pump today” call is being celebrated across Crypto Twitter as textbook macro analysis.