Bitcoin’s price has plummeted to below $90,000 on Tuesday morning, marking a steep 28% decline over the past month. This dramatic drop has caused the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) to fall below 30, a level often interpreted as an indication of overselling, which could signal a potential easing of selling pressure in the short term. However, seasoned analysts caution that relying solely on this signal might be misleading as the downward trend still carries considerable weight.
RSI Indicator Sends Warning Signals
The RSI indicator falling below the 30 mark highlights an exceptionally strong downward momentum for Bitcoin. Although this technical signal has historically marked periods where the price decline slows down, it does not guarantee an immediate market recovery. The RSI may remain in this oversold region for an extended period, implying that the selling pressure might persist. As a result, investors often prefer to consider RSI data in conjunction with price movements to make better-informed decisions.
According to analysts, while the overselling signal has the potential to influence market direction, the primary determinant lies in emerging support levels in the price chart and candlestick patterns. In particular, Doji or long shadow candles might indicate a reduction in selling pressure and a resurgence of buyer strength. This scenario could confirm the deceleration signaled by the RSI, paving the way for a short-term rebound.
Will History Repeat Itself?
The last time the RSI indicator dipped below 30 was at the end of February when Bitcoin was trading below $80,000. During that period, the pace of the decline slowed, forming a bottom around $75,000 at the beginning of April. Currently, there is speculation about whether a similar scenario might unfold again. The RSI’s reappearance in the overselling zone has prompted some investors to adopt a cautious stance, preparing for a potential recovery.
The widespread monitoring of the RSI in the market can sometimes create a self-fulfilling effect. When many investors respond to the same technical data, collective buying or selling behavior can accelerate price movement. Currently, the RSI indicates a critical phase as investors seek new direction following psychological weakening. Nonetheless, what will ultimately determine Bitcoin’s short-term fate is the market’s response to support zones, beyond relying on technical indicators alone.