The Ethereum price was near $4,500 at the time of writing as institutional inflows and ETF demand grew.
Analysts said the market showed patterns similar to gold’s 2020–2025 rally and argued that this alignment could help ETH target between $12,000 and $15,000 by the end of 2025.
Ethereum Price Mirrored Gold’s Earlier Breakout Phase
Market observers compared Ethereum’s structure to gold’s multi-year climb that preceded its major breakout.
Trader DeFiTracer shared a chart showing Ethereum’s 2024–2026 pattern closely tracking gold’s 2020–2025 rise.
He wrote on X that ETH could be “following gold’s path” and that a move toward $15,000 might already be in play.
Blockchain Reporter data supported this comparison. The study showed the Ethereum–gold correlation rose to 0.7 in the third quarter of 2025, marking one of the strongest alignments ever recorded between the two assets.
Historically, Ethereum traded opposite gold, moving higher when investors sought risk and falling when they favored safety.
Analysts said that changing macro conditions, especially inflation pressure and expanding ETF inflows, had started to close that gap.
Researchers such as Benjamin Cowen and Tom Lee forecasted that Ethereum could approach $12,000–$15,000 if current inflows persisted.
They cited growing participation across decentralized finance (DeFi) and staking platforms that encouraged long-term holding of ETH rather than short-term speculation.
Institutional Flows Support Ethereum Price
The introduction of BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF and similar institutional products changed the market’s profile in 2025.
These funds gave traditional investors exposure to ETH without direct custody risks, leading to measurable growth in both market capitalization and liquidity.
Data from Brave New Coin showed that Ethereum’s daily trading volume exceeded $37 Billion, reflecting stronger participation from institutional desks.
Analysts said ETF inflows reduced selling pressure among long-term holders, improving ETH price stability compared with earlier bull cycles.
The growing use of ETFs also reinforced Ethereum’s perception as a maturing asset class. Analysts said institutional portfolios now treated ETH as a diversification tool rather than a purely speculative play.
Many expected the inflows to continue through the fourth quarter of 2025, supporting a slow but steady accumulation phase.
Whale Transactions Kept Short-Term Volatility High
Despite broader optimism, large transactions by major wallets continued to influence the ETH market.
Analyst @TedPillows reported that one whale sold about $56 Million worth of ETH, earning roughly $9 Million after buying the dip near $4,000 earlier in the month.
A 2025 academic paper found that concentrated wallet activity could increase Ethereum’s volatility by about 20 percent during active trading periods.
Analysts said such behavior often reflected short-term profit-taking within longer bullish trends. While these sales occasionally created local pullbacks, traders viewed them as part of a healthy market rotation.
Profit realization by early buyers provided liquidity for new entrants and prevented overheated price momentum.
Technical Data Pointed to Continued Recovery
Technical charts suggested Ethereum remained in a strengthening phase. Analyst Mister Crypto showed that ETH/USD had broken above a descending resistance trendline dating back to the 2021 peak near $4,900.
The confirmed breakout, helped by a 17 percent rally in October 2025, positioned Ethereum to retest resistance near $4,500 and possibly extend toward $6,900 later in the quarter.
On-chain data reinforced the bullish tone. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures whether coins are moving at a profit, showed that selling pressure from short-term holders decreased notably.
Analysts said this shift often preceded sustained upside when supply stopped rotating into weak hands.
However, they warned that network fees and broader monetary policy decisions could still affect momentum.
Rising transaction costs sometimes reduced user activity, and changes in Federal Reserve interest-rate policy influenced capital flows into digital assets.
Outlook: EthereumETF Trends Guides Next Phase
Ethereum’s outlook remained tied to institutional adoption and its evolving macro correlation with gold.
Analysts said ETF demand, staking yields, and on-chain fundamentals now defined the token’s long-term trajectory more than short-term trading noise.
If ETF inflows stayed strong and whale activity moderated, ETH could maintain its position as the dominant asset in decentralized finance.
Analysts noted that gold’s historic breakout began once correlations stabilized and macro liquidity expanded, a combination now forming again in Ethereum’s favor.
At press time, the Ethereum price reflected a maturing market shaped by global investment flows, suggesting that its “digital gold” narrative was becoming more than a metaphor.