XRP price continues to fall even after the multiple launches of the spot XRP ETF. The new products increased institutional access and created expectations of stronger market support.
Investors hoped the ETFs would stabilize price action, yet XRP has closed lower each week. The weakness shows that selling pressure remains strong despite rising institutional interest.
XRP’s recent decline has raised demand for clearer forecasts. Many traders expected a December rebound supported by ETF inflows and improving market structure. The opposite happened, creating uncertainty heading into the holiday period.
To understand the outlook, a detailed AI-driven projection was requested from ChatGPT; the model delivered several scenarios supported by current market conditions.
Market Forecasts Show Mixed Outlook
Some market projections suggest XRP could close December 2025 near $2.85 if conditions turn bullish. Another recent AI estimate places the token near $2.43 by the end of 2025 under moderate growth.
A stronger bullish case exists as well. That view highlights ETF inflows, institutional accumulation, and a shrinking supply float. Under that model, XRP could break toward $3.00 if momentum improves.
Key Levels and Downside Risks
The $2.20–$2.30 resistance zone remains a major barrier. Failure to break that zone could keep XRP range-bound through December. Macro risks also threaten short-term recovery. Bitcoin weakness often pressures altcoins and could stall any rally.
Tightening financial conditions and regulatory concerns could also delay a breakout. In a deeper bearish scenario, XRP could revisit the $2.00–$2.20 area. A larger decline may even test the lower support between $1.80 and $2.00.
ChatGPT’s Base-Case Prediction
The model provided a central forecast after analyzing several market factors. The projection assumes a neutral-to-slightly-bullish crypto environment. It also assumes stable global conditions and consistent ETF inflows.
Under those assumptions, XRP is expected to trade between $2.75 and $3.10 on Christmas Day 2025. This estimate reflects a modest rally powered by consolidation and renewed altcoin interest. The forecast also considers steady fundamentals and a more predictable regulatory landscape for Ripple.
Possible Bearish and Bullish Variants
A bearish scenario remains possible if negative sentiment grows. Under that setting, XRP could fall toward $2.00–$2.20. A deeper decline may test support near $1.80. A bullish variant also exists.
If adoption accelerates and ETF demand expands, XRP could reach $3.50 or even $4.00. This would require strong inflows and a sharp improvement in market sentiment. Such a move appears ambitious for the short time remaining, but it remains within the realm of possibility.
Final Outlook
XRP enters December with mixed signals. Structural progress supports long-term strength. Short-term pressure remains heavy. Based on current data, a realistic Christmas-Day expectation is $2.75–$3.10. The market’s direction over the next weeks will determine whether XRP reaches or misses that target.