Bitcoin may see a significant rebound in the coming week if October’s historical trend continues, with potential gains of up to 21%, an economist suggests. Historically, October has demonstrated strong performance for cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, which could influence market movements amid recent volatility tied to geopolitical events.
Key Takeaways
- •October has historically been a bullish month for Bitcoin, with an average return of over 20% since 2013.
- •Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline to $102,000 following U.S.-China trade tensions but has since partially recovered.
- •Experts believe that if history repeats, Bitcoin could reach nearly $124,000 in the upcoming days.
- •Market optimism persists among traders, with some analysts emphasizing that the current cycle’s bottom is near.
Bitcoin’s price may rebound significantly over the next week, potentially climbing by as much as 21%, if recent October trends persist. This projection stems from historical data indicating that October tends to deliver strong returns for the leading cryptocurrency.
“Drops of more than 5% in October are exceedingly rare. This has happened only four times in the past decade,” said economist Timothy Peterson in a recent X post. The instances occurred in October 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2021. Following these dips, Bitcoin rebounded by 16%, 4%, and 21% respectively, with only 2021 diverging, falling an additional 3%.
October, often called “Uptober,” has become renowned for its bullish trend in the crypto markets. Data reveals that since 2013, this month has averaged a return of 20.14%, making it the second‑best month for Bitcoin performance, after November, which averages a remarkable 46.02% gain according to CoinGlass.
If history repeats itself, Bitcoin’s price could surge to $124,000
The recent market correction saw Bitcoin plummet to around $102,000 amid geopolitical tensions, notably following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has rebounded to about $112,468 at the time of publication, having previously hit an all‑time high of $125,100 on Monday.
Based on recent trends, if Bitcoin follows its historic October trajectory—specifically the 21% surge observed in 2019—a move from Friday’s low of $102,000 could push the price close to $124,000 within the next week.
Optimism remains among Bitcoin advocates
Several industry voices remain confident in the bullish outlook. On Friday, Jan3 founder Samson Mow noted, “There are still 21 days left in Uptober.” Meanwhile, Michael van de Poppe of MN Trading Capital asserted that “This is the bottom of the current cycle.”
Some analysts believe that the recent downturn marks a temporary dip before continued upward momentum. “The biggest liquidation crash in history. COVID‑19 was the bottom of the previous cycle,” Mow added, hinting at longer‑term bullishness.
Looking further ahead, Bitcoin’s long‑term outlook remains optimistic among some experts, with predictions of substantial future appreciation. The Bitcoin Libertarian noted, “In a few years, Bitcoin will crash from $1M to $0.8M in a few hours, and we’ll all be talking about a new record high of liquidations. But ultimately, history tends to repeat itself in the crypto space.”
As markets remain volatile, traders and investors are closely watching upcoming technical signals, geopolitical developments, and macroeconomic policies that could shape Bitcoin and broader crypto markets in the weeks ahead.