Key Insights
- •Crypto market prices are holding steady because Federal Reserve liquidity is preventing stress, but not pushing strong buying.
- •Global money supply growth is improving, but it is still below levels that supported past major Bitcoin rallies.
- •US tariffs continue to reduce spare money for households and traders, limiting how much capital flows into crypto.
The crypto market remains range-bound. Bitcoin is trading between $92,000 and $95,000. The total crypto market value is staying near $3.1 to $3.2 trillion.
Prices are moving, but only a little. It seems that liquidity is coming in, but prices are not breaking higher. At the same time, the market is also not falling apart.
The reason is simple. Two forces are pulling the crypto market in opposite directions. One is adding money. The other is slowly taking money away. This is why the market feels stuck.
Federal Reserve Liquidity is Adding Support to the System
One side of this tug-of-war comes from the Federal Reserve. Between late January and mid-February, the Federal Reserve would inject about $55.3 billion into the financial system. This is happening through Treasury bill purchases and reinvestments.
These actions are meant to keep enough cash inside banks and financial markets. The goal is to make sure the system has enough money to function smoothly after earlier tightening.
For crypto, this kind of liquidity matters. It helps prevent sharp drops. It creates a base under prices. This is one reason Bitcoin is not breaking down even after weeks of slow movement. However, it would be interesting to see how the crypto market eventually responds to this injection.
The market might not benefit directly if the attention shifts to the likes of Silver and Gold, assets that have been outperforming crypto for a while now. Also, this money does not rush straight into crypto. It mostly stays inside the financial system first. Because of that, it supports stability rather than rapid price rises.
Global M2 Shows Money is Growing, But Still Limited
Another important piece is global M2. Global M2 means the total amount of easy-to-use money in the world. It includes cash, savings, and bank deposits across major countries. When global M2 grows fast, people usually have more money to invest and take risks. Right now, global M2 is growing at around 11.4% year over year.
In past Bitcoin cycles, strong bull runs usually started when this number crossed 14%. That level showed that money was widely available and moving freely into risk assets like crypto.
Today, liquidity is improving, but it is not at that level yet. This explains why the crypto market is holding steady but not moving strongly upward. There is some fuel, but not enough for a full rally.
Tariffs are Quietly Reducing Risk-Taking Money
The other side of the tug-of-war comes from US tariffs introduced during 2024 and 2025. These tariffs work like a slow drain on spending power. Most of the cost is paid inside the country. Households and businesses end up with less extra money after daily expenses.
This extra money is important for crypto. It is the money people use for trading, investing, and taking risks. When that money shrinks, trading slows down.
Even when liquidity improves at the top of the system, this pressure at the ground level holds the market back. People become careful. They trade less. They avoid high risk.
The Crypto Market Remains Stuck for Now
This is the liquidity tug-of-war. On one side, Federal Reserve actions and rising global money supply are stopping a major crash. On the other side, tariffs and weak spending power are blocking a strong rally.
This is why the crypto market is moving sideways. For a clear move to happen, one force must become stronger. Either liquidity must increase further, or economic pressure must ease. Until then, the market stays slow and patient. And right now, waiting is what defines the crypto market.