The new week promises to be intense for cryptocurrency enthusiasts, with considerable market fluctuations anticipated. The European Union’s recent statements have significantly heightened risks for the week of January 19-25. Traders in cryptocurrencies should brace for challenging days when substantial liquidations are expected to occur in both directions. Although the markets are full of surprises, the current week’s outlook does not seem favorable.
EU Tensions and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Donald Trump sets his sights on Greenland, maintaining his belief that whatever he desires can be achieved. In previous years, he has wanted to oust Fed Chair Powell and even considered the incorporation of Canada as a U.S. state. Though not always successful, Trump’s unyielding stance has been evident through imposing significant tariffs worldwide last year, reaching unprecedented levels.
Currently, the notion of acquiring Greenland is met with resistance, as the EU is determined to prove they are not an easy target. Trump argues that the U.S., as the world’s policeman, is owed debts by other nations. Particularly, the EU’s lack of military strength means they remain tethered to the U.S. within NATO, a fact that Trump leverages skillfully.
The coming days likely herald further confrontations between the EU and the U.S. Over the past year, similar situations have arisen two to three times, each resulting in a drop in cryptocurrencies. A tariff standoff akin to previous confrontations seems imminent. The declaration by U.S. diplomats suggests that beginning February 1st, retaliatory measures will commence, including additional tariffs imposed by Trump. Measures such as excluding American companies from the European Economic Area and applying around $100 billion worth of opposing tariffs have been proposed.
Supreme Court Decision and Tariff Implications
Legally, Trump’s practice of imposing heavy tariffs without limits is contestable. Lower courts have revoked these tariffs, but final decisions rest with the Supreme Court. The court is expected to announce its decision on January 20th at 18:00, although this remains uncertain. Delayed for two weeks, the White House’s assertion that “a decision will be made in January” suggests this week is crucial for resolution.
If tariffs are annulled, Trump will potentially lose revenue worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Consequently, countries pressured to make trillion-dollar investments in the U.S. may no longer feel compelled to comply. Negotiations conducted throughout 2025, meant to prevent market collapse, will be rendered ineffective. Nations will revert to their former customs duties with the U.S. Additionally, tariff cancellations may contribute to a slight reduction in inflation.
To counter potential losses, Trump may propose alternative investment methods to other countries, resorting to military threats if cooperation is not achieved. The general climate of uncertainty is unsettling, leaving a pool of ambiguity threatening global economic stability. While Trump claims a backup plan exists, he faces limitations on imposing taxes exceeding 15% for over six months, creating hurdles in finding sustainable solutions.
Impact on Cryptocurrency Markets
Cryptocurrencies thrive in stable environments, making uncertainty their enemy. Consequently, this unpredictability poses a significant challenge for digital asset markets.