Market Overview and Analyst Forecast
The Federal Reserve meeting was the week’s most significant event, yet Bitcoin has returned to its starting point. Despite this, crypto soothsayer Roman Trading, who has been sharing a downward target for BTC lingering at 90,000 dollars for months, made a noteworthy statement today, suggesting “the time has come.” This poses a key question: What is the next direction for cryptocurrencies?
Roman Trading recently made two critical announcements. In the latter, the analyst advised preparing for the next BTC surge and noted that all hope might be lost. Known for accurately predicting many trends this year, Roman Trading has become a major figure in 2025, akin to PlanB of 2021 and Capo of 2022.
Having stated plans to accumulate gradually around 50,000 dollars via DCA, Roman Trading shared an updated chart after the Fed meeting, anticipating an acceleration in the decline. Despite previously considering a dead cat bounce up to 104,000 dollars, he now seems confident about the direction the market will head.
Roman Trading described Bitcoin’s daily chart, predicting a drop to the 76,000 level. He emphasized that trading patterns, coupled with bear market dynamics, support this valuation. Additionally, he argued that falling interest rates hold little significance, positing that prices will continue to decline.
Should the 76,000 dollar level not hold, BTC may retrace to a cycle low near 50,000 dollars. However, this scenario could recreate a 2022-like situation where prior cycle ATH levels do not support. According to historical data, BTC should hold strong between 66,000 and 69,000 dollars, considered the 20,000 dollars of 2022.
Implications for Crypto ETFs
Despite Fed-induced volatility, crypto ETFs had promising results. Bitcoin ETFs welcomed a net inflow of 223.5 million dollars, following 151 million dollars the day before, leading investors to hope the exit streak might be over. Nonetheless, an Oracle report-induced market drop might result in net outflows soon.
TKL expressed satisfaction with the current situation, highlighting recovery from previous losses. According to the latest statistics, crypto ETFs recorded 716 million dollars in weekly inflows, the second-highest in six weeks, marking a total of 1.8 billion accrual over two weeks. Consequently, total AUM rose by 7.9% from November lows to 180 billion dollars, though still far from the all-time peak of 264 billion dollars.
Bitcoin ETFs saw 352 million dollars in inflows, XRP attracted 245 million dollars, while Chainlink broke records with 52.8 million dollars, representing 54% of its total AUM. Meanwhile, short Bitcoin ETPs experienced 18.7 million dollars in outflows, the highest since March, suggesting improved sentiment in the crypto market.