Cryptocurrencies are experiencing a recovery phase while Trump’s recent announcements have not destabilized the markets. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision amidst rising tensions are critical events this week. Analyst Martinez points to a significant detail in the Bitcoin chart that could indicate potential market movements. Chinese and U.S. trade data also provide important insights, necessitating a rapid overview and assessment of the current scenario.
Intriguing Pattern in Bitcoin’s 1064th Day
Bitcoin operates under the laws of four-year cycles, which include repeating patterns expected to emerge in familiar cycles, reflected in various on-chain metrics and charts. While this ongoing cycle appears unique, Martinez highlights an interesting coincidence that could signal investors towards potential future trends.
In the last two cycles, Bitcoin’s price peaked exactly 1064 days after the lowest point of the bear market. From the bottom in November 2022 to the new all-time high of $126,220 this month, Bitcoin achieved these levels in 1064 days. This temporal alignment suggests that Bitcoin may have reached its bull peak this month. However, unlike physical laws, these cycle laws can be violated, as seen when Bitcoin failed to maintain previous ATH levels as support during recent bear markets, amid an abnormal environment.
U.S.-China Trade Relations
NVIDIA CEO Huang recently mentioned that their business in China has stalled. Initially, the U.S. imposed high tariffs, followed by restrictions on certain product sales to China. NVIDIA then offered to pay these tariffs to the U.S. out of its own pocket, which led to China declining to purchase NVIDIA chips.
TKL commented on the situation, noting a year-on-year decline of 18% in Chinese exports to the U.S. during the first nine months of 2025, dropping to $317 billion, the lowest in five years. Since 2022, there’s been an export reduction of 29%, equating to $131 billion. These figures are comparable to levels seen in the first nine months of 2017 when the initial trade war began.
Small package shipments have fallen by 50% from April to September, reaching $1.15 billion, while Chinese LCD TV exports to the U.S. decreased by 73% in value over the last quarter. Trade between these two major economies is rapidly slowing down.
Chainlink, Ethereum, and Bitcoin
There is positive news for the Chainlink reserve, as Scott Melker expressed satisfaction with the recent addition of 63,481 LINK Coins. The total reserve now stands at 586,640 LINK Coins. LINK Coin is currently at $17.47, with a 1.2% increase today.
Nic shared the latest Bitcoin chart for those wondering what’s next: “We are above the 200-day moving average and hopefully can close above this level. The next area I’m watching is 110,000 – 111,000. This is where the 61.8% Fibonacci extension and previous support/resistance region lie. Hopefully, we can flip this level.”
CryptoBullet highlighted changes at the cycle peak, stating that during the Ethereum cycle peak, ETH reaches larger peaks while BTC forms lower peaks, suggesting that the time for this pattern might be here.
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