Data Analyst: XRP’s Turn Is Beginning. Price Has Bottomed Out. Here’s New Target

In a moment of quiet optimism, the native token of the XRP ledger, XRP, appears to be emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase—setting the stage for what many hope may be a historic rebound.

The sentiment among chart‑savvy analysts and institutional watchers is shifting, and it may be time to pay attention.

According to analyst CW in a recent post on the social platform X, XRP is said to have reached its “bottom” and is poised to enter a fresh upward wave. The technical framework rests wholly on the concept of market cycle phases, with CW splitting the multi‑year XRP price history into discrete segments.

Under that lens, the token has just exited the corrective phase and is now entering what is termed “Phase 4”, in which rapid markup moves tend to occur.

The Bottom Is In

CW’s analysis positions the recent low as a structural pivot. Equipped with a long‑term log chart and fractal overlays, the study shows XRP tracing a prior cycle’s corrective base. With the consolidation now assumed complete, the thesis suggests risk has tilted toward the upside.

This interpretation gains indirect support from broader cycle studies, which see crypto markets evolving through Accumulation, Mark‑up, Distribution, and Mark‑down. Recent on‑chain and sentiment signals appear consistent with low volatility turning into a build‑up for momentum.

New Targets Beyond Old Highs

CW’s target framework now elevates the former all‑time high near the $3.84 mark as a jumping‑off point, not a ceiling. From here, the analyst projects a first significant target of approximately $6.18, followed by a more ambitious move toward $21.50 — a level which would place XRP well into “uncharted” cycle territory.

This aligns with other bullish homes in the market, which place cycle tops in the $20–$30 range. If this scenario plays out, XRP would be executing a classic markup leg consistent with the exit from Phase 4‑type behavior.

Fractal Structure and Cycle Logic

The backbone of the bullish thesis is fractal symmetry: prior cycle peaks and troughs provide the blueprint for the next move. In CW’s view, the current price pattern mirrors the prior major consolidation and breakout.

The assumption: once the price breaks the consolidation zone, the markup leg tends to see exponential gains. While this remains speculative, it’s consistent with broader pattern studies of crypto cycles.

Contextual Caveats & Risk Considerations

Despite the optimistic framing, there are important caveats. Technical indicators for XRP remain mixed: recent moving‑average data show sell signals across major windows. The very structure that supports the bullish target also implies that if support levels fail, the rally thesis could collapse.

Macro factors — regulatory decisions, institutional flows, global macro risk — will still influence traction and timing. Thus, while the bottoming narrative may hold, execution remains uncertain.

Final Takeaway

If CW’s cycle‑phase analysis is correct, XRP could be at the onset of a major rally: the old ATH becomes the launching pad toward far higher targets. Watching for a clean breakout from the consolidation and sustained volume will be key.

The bottom appears in place, but the “when” and “how” are still to be proven. Market participants should proceed with both excitement and discipline: a structural opportunity may be forming, yet conditions must still align for the move toward $6 and beyond to $21+ to unfold.