Dogecoin is trading directly on top of a major long-term support region defined by the lower boundary of its monthly Ichimoku cloud, a structure many analysts consider the final line of defense in higher-timeframe trends. The observation came from crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who noted that DOGE is currently "licking the bottom of its monthly Ichimoku cloud."
DOGE Trades at the Cloud Floor as Monthly Structure Compresses
On the 1-month DOGE/USDT chart captured on 7 December 2025, Dogecoin was priced around $0.14050, reflecting a mild 3.8 percent decline for the month. The monthly candle opened at $0.14599, reached a high of $0.15340, and dropped to a low of $0.13177, maintaining a tight yet clearly downward trajectory.
Using standard Ichimoku 9-26-52-26 settings, the chart shows:
- •Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): $0.20092
- •Kijun-sen (Base Line): $0.27491
- •Leading Span A & B (Kumo Cloud): $0.23792 and $0.26674
The forward-projected red Kumo cloud extends into 2026, and DOGE currently trades far below both Tenkan and Kijun, resting directly at the lower cloud boundary.
This lower edge bends into the $0.12–$0.13 range, which is the zone highlighted by Cantonese Cat as the key structural support. Notably, October’s monthly candle briefly pierced into the mid-$0.06 region but rebounded to close above the cloud floor. The current candle is again testing this boundary while holding marginally above it near $0.14.
Why This Ichimoku Zone Matters
For Ichimoku traders, the lower Kumo boundary is widely seen as the final structural support in a trend that remains intact. As long as DOGE holds monthly closes above the $0.12–$0.14 area, analysts argue it can still be interpreted as a long-term bottoming pattern, not a confirmed breakdown.
If this level fails on a monthly close, however, it may signal a deeper multi-month decline.
Weekly Chart: DOGE Holds Inside Heavy Support Zone
On the weekly DOGE/USDT chart, the asset trades inside a key support block between $0.135 and $0.145, a region that previously acted as resistance before the last major breakout.
Recent weekly candles continue to cluster within this band, with wicks repeatedly pushing below it, showing how aggressively the market is retesting this zone. The current weekly price trades around $0.14392.
Despite holding support, DOGE remains below major weekly moving averages:
- •20-week EMA
- •50-week EMA
- •100-week EMA
- •200-week EMA (now at $0.15563)
Additionally, DOGE has lost its ascending trendline that previously held higher lows. After breaking beneath this structure, price dropped sharply, forming an overhead supply zone where the broken trendline meets the EMAs.
DOGE is now compressed between this overhead resistance and its multi-week support band, setting up a potential high-volatility move in the weeks ahead.
Long-Term Outlook Hinges on Monthly Close
Analysts agree on one key conclusion: Dogecoin’s long-term direction now depends on whether it can continue closing above the $0.12–$0.14 Ichimoku support range.
A sustained hold could reinforce a multi-year bottoming structure, while a breakdown would risk resetting the trend entirely.