$4,505 Resistance in Focus
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified $4,505 as one of the most critical resistance zones for Ethereum. Data from Glassnode’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows that around 1.75 million ETH, equal to 2.25% of supply, last changed hands at this price.
$4,505 is one of the most important resistance levels to watch for Ethereum $ETH. pic.twitter.com/0QHS2P0P5C
— Ali (@ali_charts) October 2, 2025
Notably, this creates a heavy concentration of cost basis, meaning many holders could look to sell or exit when ETH retests the level. With the asset currently below $4,400, a sustained push above $4,505 could ease selling pressure. If the level fails, ETH may face repeated rejection similar to earlier supply clusters.
Cup and Handle Breakout
Merlijn The Trader pointed to a multi-year cup and handle formation on Ethereum’s chart. The pattern began forming in 2022, with a deep consolidation shaping the cup, followed by a handle retest near $4,300 in 2025.
Ethereum has since broken above the neckline. Merlijn described the move as “the holy grail” and noted:
$ETH JUST DREW THE HOLY GRAIL.
3 years of chop erased in one breakout.
Measured move points vertical.Ethereum’s next stop: five digits.
Don’t fade the script. pic.twitter.com/odKqriQvWe— Merlijn The Trader
Token2049
(@MerlijnTrader) October 1, 2025
A measured move from the pattern projects a target well above current levels, suggesting potential for a push toward the $10,000 range if the breakout holds.
Cycle Repeats Show Parabolic Potential
Another analyst, EtherNasyonaL, compared Ethereum’s current structure to past cycles. In both 2016–2017 and 2019–2021, ETH cleared major resistance, retested it as support, and then accelerated into steep rallies.
Ethereum is now showing the same setup for a third time. The coin has retested resistance, turned support at around $4,388. According to EtherNasyonaL:
“Ethereum has experienced nearly identical scenarios across three distinct market cycles.”
If history repeats itself, ETH could be preparing for another large upward phase.
ETH/BTC Pair Shows Room to Run
Michaël van de Poppe focused on Ethereum’s ratio against Bitcoin. The pair rose 144% from May to August before correcting. It now trades near 0.0366 BTC, with support marked at 0.03250 BTC as an “ideal zone for buys.”
Van de Poppe explained:
“Given that the BTC pair is currently nicely holding up here, and has provided a standard correction, I think that we’ll see this one pick up momentum in the coming weeks.”
He added that ETH typically gains after Bitcoin rallies and then slows, creating space for altcoins to perform.