- •Bitcoin Dominance has fallen below key technical indicators, including the EMA50 and long-term support.
- •Chart analysis suggests a potential target zone of 48-40%, historically associated with peak altcoin rallies.
- •If Bitcoin stabilizes above $55,000, a liquidity shift could significantly benefit DeFi, AI, and L2 tokens.
In a pivotal moment for the crypto market, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has shattered key technical thresholds, igniting speculation of an impending altcoin surge. On November 23, 2025, crypto analyst Crypto Patel highlighted a dramatic weekly close below the EMA50, marking a rejection from a bearish retest and the breach of a long-term support trendline. This confluence of breakdowns has traders buzzing about the “Altseason Countdown” officially underway.
BTC Dominance Crashes Below EMA50: Altseason Countdown Officially Started
— Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) November 23, 2025
Weekly close below EMA50, Rejected From Bearish Retest, and the Long-term support trendline is gone.
If $BTC simply stops dumping, liquidity rotation into alts becomes inevitable.
This setup has… pic.twitter.com/Z37h6Y70C5
Historical Patterns Point Toward Altseason
Bitcoin Dominance measures BTC’s market capitalization as a percentage of the total crypto market cap. When it rises, capital flows disproportionately into Bitcoin, often sidelining altcoins. Conversely, a sharp decline signals rotation toward alternatives, as investors seek higher-risk, higher-reward opportunities. Patel’s TradingView chart underscores this narrative: a red resistance line (altcoins accumulation) caps upside, while a green support line (take-profit from alts) now lies in tatters. The 247-bar, 1.729-day formation points to a potential slide toward 48-40%, a zone historically tied to explosive altcoin rallies.
Which Altcoins Could Benefit Most?
This isn’t mere speculation; history echoes the setup. In late 2020, BTC.D dipped below 50% amid post-halving euphoria, unleashing gains for ETH, LINK, and emerging DeFi tokens. Similarly, the 2021 bull run saw dominance crater to 40%, fueling meme coin mania and NFT booms. Today’s chart mirrors those patterns, with a bearish order block (OB) and fair value gap (FVG) suggesting further downside if Bitcoin stabilizes. Patel notes: “If $BTC simply stops dumping, liquidity rotation into alts becomes inevitable.” With BTC hovering near $58,000 after recent volatility, any consolidation could trigger this shift, especially as institutional inflows via ETFs wane and retail FOMO returns. For altcoin enthusiasts, this is a clarion call.
Key Risks and Market Conditions to Watch
Sectors like Layer-2 scaling solutions (e.g., ARB, OP), AI-integrated tokens (FET, RNDR), and real-world assets (ONDO, LINK) stand poised for outsized moves. However, risks abound: a BTC breakdown below $55,000 could drag the entire market lower, amplifying correlations. Traders should eye volume spikes and RSI divergences for entry cues, while diversifying to mitigate whipsaws. As 2025’s bull cycle matures, this BTC.D fracture could redefine portfolios. The question isn’t if altseason arrives, but how ferociously. With macro tailwinds like potential rate cuts and regulatory clarity on the horizon, the stage is set for alts to reclaim the spotlight. Stay vigilant—opportunities like this don’t linger.