Key Insights
- •MicroStrategy stock soared around 5% today, sparking market optimism.
- •As Q3 comes to a close, bulls are hoping MSTR stock has survived the September curse and Q4 will be bullish for crypto and related stocks
- •As MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, some bulls are calling for $1K MSTR by year’s end
MicroStrategy (MSTR) refuses to go quietly. MicroStrategy stock rallied over 5% today as momentum borne of survival and relentless Bitcoin accumulation propelled the company’s shares higher.
There is a surging optimism as Q3 closes and traders fix their gaze on what is historically the most bullish time of the year.
Is the bottom finally in for MSTR stock to carve out a fresh new high by year-end?
If some of the more bullish analysts are right, MicroStrategy stock could hit $1,000 before 2025 is out. The setup for the overall stock market is buoyant, and Bitcoin typically performs well in Q4.
But as always, the case for liftoff is met by just as many cautionary warnings.
MicroStrategy Stock Soars Amid BTC Accumulation
MicroStrategy just added 196 more BTC to its trove. That brings the corporate Bitcoin stash up to 640,031 BTC at an average cost of around $73,983 per coin.
With Bitcoin holding strong above $112,000 and Q4 a period of historical breakneck rallies for both crypto and related stocks, bulls sense a real runway ahead.
The bottom could be in for the MSTR price to shoot for a new all-time high in Q4.
September’s close puts MicroStrategy stock up more than 140% in the past year. Flowtopia founder, TheTradingChamp, called out the bullish setup in the stock market, commenting:
“$MSTR is setting up for a large move… My price target on $MSTR Is $400 first.. then much higher.”
MSTR and Bitcoin bull, Gladiator, called for $1,000 MSTR stock price by the end of 2025, while one whale put in an order of $18.1 million in after‑hours trading.
Why Q4 Matters for MicroStrategy Stock?
Analysts aren’t betting on new Bitcoin accumulation alone. Historically, Q4 is the turbocharger for risk‑on assets. The S&P 500 averages nearly 6% returns when the first three quarters run positive.
For MicroStrategy stock, with over $73 billion worth of Bitcoin and ultra‑high volatility, bullish macro winds can mean exaggerated upside moves.
MSTR’s tight correlation to Bitcoin’s price means any prolonged crypto rally can quickly turn into monster equity gains.
Bulls argue that as companies add Bitcoin to their treasuries and new institutional money pours in, MSTR stock will benefit.
MSTR’s leverage (amplified by frequent preferred stock and ATM equity raises) could push it beyond $1,000 if momentum builds into late December.
Bearish Views: Volatility and Premium Concerns
But it’s not all moonshots and champagne pops. MSTR’s premium to book value is high, over 2x.
That makes it richly valued even by crypto standards. The company’s debt‑to‑equity ratio stands above 16, and profit and revenue growth are not keeping pace with its share price.
MSTR has seen major drawdowns (like the 19% slide in August as Bitcoin retraced), and volatility remains extreme. Gus Galá at Monness, Crespi, Hardt still rates MSTR a “Sell.”
His bear case scenario targets $175, warning that outsized exposure to Bitcoin’s boom‑bust cycle could spell trouble if the asset falters.
Year‑to‑date, several analysts have trimmed expectations or moved to “Neutral” as shares bounced. They cited growing macroeconomic headwinds and the Federal Reserve’s rate path uncertainty.
Market capitalization occasionally exceeds the value of its Bitcoin holdings, hinting that exuberance may be ahead of fundamentals.
Even bulls admit that for MSTR stock to hold above $700 and make a move at $1K, it needs a sustained, disorder‑free “fear‑of‑missing‑out” rally. But that’s more than likely if Bitcoin itself rockets to new highs.
Q4 could be epic for MicroStrategy stock, but risk, volatility, and valuation froth remain part of the ride. The race for $1K is not guaranteed, but for the disciples of Saylor’s conviction, it’s the next battlefront to watch.