Monero has surged nearly 95% since the start of 2026, climbing from roughly $410 to nearly $799. However, the same retail trading signal that preceded sharp reversals in Zcash and Dash is now flashing for the privacy-focused cryptocurrency.
Retail Warning Signal
The recent rally marks one of the strongest moves in the crypto market this year.
A trading frequency signal, often associated with crowded retail participation and late-stage buying, appeared for Monero around the $714 level as the coin traded deep into its parabolic advance.
This indicator previously lit up for Zcash near its local top around $698, before the privacy coin reversed and dropped approximately 37% to around $442.
Dash followed a similar pattern. The retail alert triggered near $120, and the coin subsequently fell roughly 52% to the $57 zone.
These signals typically reflect emotional participation, where buyers enter late, liquidity thins, and volatility spikes.
Fragile Rally Risk
The key question is whether Monero can absorb profit-taking without breaking its structure, or if it will repeat the post-spike unwind seen in ZEC and DASH.
Monero's weekly chart shows a clear parabolic expansion phase after spending much of 2024 in a slow accumulation range.
The cryptocurrency repeatedly defended higher lows and reclaimed the $200 area before momentum accelerated sharply.
The $500 to $600 breakout zones are crucial levels to keep an eye on. The uptrend is maintained if buyers defend those areas; otherwise, a deeper retracement may occur swiftly.