Crypto commentator Austin Hilton recently shared his perspective on how October may unfold for XRP, pointing to broader market behavior and historical data.
In a new video, Hilton broke down the impact of Bitcoin’s market dominance, seasonal performance trends, and external economic factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.
His remarks centered on how XRP, despite lacking its own historical October track record due to years of stagnation under the SEC lawsuit, could still benefit from Bitcoin-led market momentum.
XRP Family! Is October going to be a crazy good month for XRP?
Lets talk about this!
What do you think? pic.twitter.com/8JEwubk4Jj
— Austin Hilton (@austinahilton) October 2, 2025
The Role of Bitcoin Dominance
Hilton explained that Bitcoin currently accounts for approximately 58% of the entire cryptocurrency market, with a dominance value of around $2.38 trillion out of a total market capitalization of $4.1 trillion.
He noted that XRP’s own market capitalization stands at about $178 billion, with modest gains of 1% in the past 24 hours and 4% over the past week. His view is that Bitcoin’s market influence ensures that when it trends upward, the rest of the market, including XRP, is likely to follow.
Government Shutdown and Market Reaction
One of the unusual elements shaping October is the U.S. government shutdown. Hilton reminded his audience that the last such shutdown took place in 2018 and lasted 35 days, a period when cryptocurrency was not yet widely impacted by such macroeconomic developments.
This time, however, he observed that crypto markets have responded positively rather than negatively, with hundreds of billions of dollars flowing in. He suggested that this may have accelerated gains earlier in the month than expected, disrupting the assumption that October’s first weeks would remain flat.
Historical October Trends in Bitcoin
While XRP lacks a meaningful October track record due to its limited activity during the years of its SEC battle, Hilton highlighted Bitcoin’s historical strength in the month.
According to his data, Bitcoin has posted gains in 10 of the past 12 Octobers, with increases ranging from single digits to over 60% in certain years. He presented charts showing these results and argued that such consistency makes October an especially favorable month for crypto performance.
Implications for XRP
Drawing a connection between Bitcoin’s October track record and XRP’s potential, Hilton argued that XRP is positioned to benefit from overall market momentum. He emphasized that when Bitcoin rises, capital and liquidity tend to flow into other assets as well.
With retail investors expected to return when Bitcoin shows strong upward moves, Hilton believes XRP could experience meaningful gains throughout October and into the fourth quarter.
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Beyond October
Hilton went further by outlining broader market expectations for the end of 2025. He referenced projections of Bitcoin potentially reaching between $150,000 and $200,000 by the close of that year, with some even speculating as high as $250,000.
In his view, XRP will naturally rise alongside such movements due to the influx of liquidity and renewed investor participation that typically accompany bull market conditions. He pointed out that October, November, and December have historically been strong quarters for crypto as a whole, with early 2026 expected to continue the trend.
Austin Hilton’s analysis of XRP’s potential in October ties closely to Bitcoin’s historical performance and current dominance. While XRP itself does not have a consistent October history to draw from, Hilton believes the overall environment, including the government shutdown’s unexpected market impact and Bitcoin’s proven seasonal strength, indicates that XRP is well‑placed for gains. He assesses that October could serve as the start of a broader bullish phase for both Bitcoin and XRP, extending into the final quarter of the year and beyond.
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