Key Points:

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  Fed rate expectations lower short-term U.S. Treasury yields.
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  Long-term yields remain high due to inflation.
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  Crypto markets experience volatility with BTC fluctuations.

A Reuters survey of 75 bond strategists indicates that anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts could lead to declining short-term U.S. Treasury yields, elevating long-term bond rates due to inflation concerns.

These potential yield shifts could worsen the U.S. fiscal situation and influence risk asset classes such as cryptocurrencies, prompting institutional adjustments and market volatility.

Short-Term Declines vs. Long-Term Challenges in Treasury Yields

A Reuters survey of 75 strategists indicates that short-term U.S. Treasury yields may decline due to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. Long-term yields, however, may resist falling due to stubborn inflation and an expanding deficit, possibly reaching 4.17% within a year.

The implications of elevated long-term yields are significant. These conditions could worsen the fiscal situation in the U.S., potentially spilling over into cryptocurrency markets.

Concerns about the federal deficit continue, suggesting that fiscal policy will play a crucial role in shaping interest rates and yield outcomes. — Janet Yellen, Secretary of the U.S. Treasury

Market reactions have been mixed. No direct commentary has been issued by key figures like Fed Chair Jerome Powell or Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen regarding the survey's findings.

Crypto Market Volatility Amid High Inflation and BTC Shifts

Did you know? The March 2023 U.S. regional banking crisis previously led to a significant flight to Bitcoin as an alternative hedge. Similar macroeconomic shifts today are influencing crypto markets and investor behaviors.

Bitcoin (BTC), trading at $113,194.27, shows a decline of 0.80% over 24 hours. With a market cap of $2.26 trillion and a trading volume change of 35.24%, BTC's market dominance stands at 58.58%, based on CoinMarketCap data.

Coincu's research team projects that while blockchain technologies see steady growth, the financial landscape requires navigating increasing fiscal pressures. Robust institutional involvement may stabilize market sentiment, though macroeconomic trends underscore potential for sustained volatility.