Shiba Inu’s prospects for reaching $0.0001 have become materially more difficult after recent declines in price and activity metrics. Several analysts and community figures previously projected that SHIB could attain the $0.0001 milestone within the current cycle; however, the token’s performance and underlying fundamentals have reduced the likelihood of a near-term achievement.
Current Price and Historical Reference
At present, SHIB is trading around $0.00001019. Its prior all-time high was $0.00008845. When SHIB reached approximately $0.00003329 in December, closing the gap to $0.0001 required a smaller percentage advance than it does today. On a year-to-date basis, the token has declined by roughly 52.1 percent, underscoring the scale of regained momentum that would be necessary for a renewed run toward $0.0001.
Notable Forecasts
A number of public figures and analysts have offered bullish forecasts in recent months. An anonymous market commentator projected that SHIB could surpass $0.0001 and potentially reach a range between $0.00017 and $0.00032 by the end of 2025. Analyst Eunice Wong published a view that SHIB could trade near $0.000125 during this bull phase. Prominent stakeholder Himanshu Maradiya also stated expectations that the $0.0001 level could materialize within the year. These estimates remain speculative and contingent on several market and project-specific developments.
Supply and Market Capitalization Implications
A major structural constraint on achieving a $0.0001 price is SHIB’s current circulating supply, which stands at approximately 589.24 trillion tokens. At that price point, the implied market capitalization would be in the vicinity of $58.92 billion. If the effective circulating supply were reduced to roughly 100 trillion through burns or other mechanisms, the market capitalization required to reach $0.0001 would fall to about $10 billion. Under current conditions, producing such a dramatic and sustained reduction in freely tradable supply would require large, ongoing burning activity or concentrated off-exchange accumulation.
On-Chain Activity and Developer Communications
On-chain metrics have softened, total value locked on Shibarium has remained below $1 million since October 8, and daily transaction counts have decreased to under 20,000, a sharp contraction from the multi-million transaction volumes recorded earlier this year. Developer engagement has also drawn scrutiny.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Lead developer Shytoshi Kusama has adopted a more private posture for public communications, including setting a social account to private, which has contributed to uncertainty among some investors and observers regarding the project’s roadmap and operational cadence.
Competitive Landscape and Shifting Capital Flows
The meme coin sector has expanded, and several new tokens have captured investor attention and capital. The launch of themed projects such as the Official Trump token has intensified competition for retail allocations and social media attention. As capital rotates toward newly issued meme assets, SHIB faces increasing difficulty in regaining the dominant community momentum it previously enjoyed.
Required Catalysts
A realistic pathway to $0.0001 would require several concurrent developments, demonstrable increases in ecosystem usage and utility, a substantial and verifiable program of token burns that meaningfully reduces circulating supply, renewed and measurable community engagement, and clearer, more consistent public communication from core contributors. Isolated improvements in a single area are unlikely to generate the sustained demand necessary to support the valuation implied by $0.0001.
Given current on-chain indicators, supply dynamics, and market composition, the probability of SHIB reaching $0.0001 in the near term is diminished relative to earlier projections. The target remains possible only if multiple structural and market conditions change in a coordinated manner. Until such shifts occur, achieving $0.0001 appears to require a prolonged period of favorable developments rather than an imminent market move.