Key Insights
- •PEPE Coin price still risks an 18% fall unless buyers protect $0.00000375.
- •The PEPE Whale buying has increased, but retail selling keeps short-term pressure high.
- •PEPE must break $0.00000466 first and $0.00000636 later to show real recovery.
PEPE coin price has not recovered this year yet. It has fallen more than 55% in the last three months and almost 75% in the last year. This shows the coin has been moving down for a long time. The small rise after Nov. 21 helped a little, but it may not continue.
The charts still show that sellers have more control, and buyers must push the price above important levels before anything improves.
PEPE Coin Price Bounce Still Looks Small
PEPE coin moved from around $0.00000389 to about $0.00000457. This move helped some traders feel better for a short time. But when we look closer at the chart, the rise does not look strong.
The RSI, also called the Relative Strength Index, is a simple tool that shows if a coin has moved too fast in one direction.
When the RSI is under 30, it means the coin has fallen very fast, and a small rise is normal. This is what happened with PEPE coin.
But the RSI also shows a warning. The RSI made higher points, while the PEPE coin price made lower points at the same time. This means the RSI is showing strength, but the price is not showing the same strength.
This formation is termed hidden bearish divergence and hints at downtrend continuation.
Many traders see this as a sign that buyers are trying, but the coin is still weak. In simple words, the small rise may not last long.
If this pattern continues, PEPE coin can fall toward $0.00000375. This is the next strong level on the chart where buyers may try to support the price.
From the current price, this move would be about an 18% fall. If PEPE goes under $0.00000375, there is no strong support below, so deeper lows can appear.
The Levels PEPE Coin Must Break To Change Direction
PEPE coin price must move above $0.00000466 before the chart shows even a small improvement. This level has stopped the price many times in the past.
A real change only begins if PEPE coin climbs above $0.00000636. If the price stays under this number, sellers still control the bigger picture.
Whale activity gives one more angle to study. In the last 30 days, the top 100 wallets increased their PEPE holdings by about 3.92%, and even larger whales increased their holdings by around 12.97%. This shows that big buyers are quietly taking more coins.
But this does not mean the price will rise now. Whales often buy when a coin is weak and wait for weeks or months before the market shows a bigger move.
Retail traders are doing the opposite. More PEPE Coin is moving into exchanges, which usually means people want to sell.
This shows many small traders are scared and want to exit. So whales are buying while retail is selling. This usually means whales are taking coins from weak sellers, but it does not guarantee a quick rise.
Do note that smart money is also dumping, even if it is at a low rate. This shows that they aren’t expecting a PEPE coin price bounce anytime soon.
What PEPE Needs Before It Can Stop Falling
The bull–bear power indicator gives a small early sign that sellers may be slowing down. This indicator shows the difference between buying strength and selling strength.
Green bars mean buyers are stronger, while red bars mean sellers are stronger.
Since Oct. 10, the red bars have slowly become smaller. This means sellers for the frog-themed meme coin are not as strong as before, and this is a small positive sign for the future.
But the green bars have still not taken control. Until green bars become stronger and stay that way, the chart does not show a full change.
Some analysts also say that PEPE coin price may form a double-bottom pattern in mid-December. A double-bottom is a simple pattern where the price touches a low two times and starts rising after that. This pattern can help the coin move higher, but it needs strong support to hold.
Right now, the leading frog-themed meme coin can still fall 18% toward $0.00000375 if buyers do not defend the current area. The coin only starts to improve if buyers push above $0.00000466, and the larger fall only ends if PEPE climbs above $0.00000636.
Pepe Whale buying helps in the long run, but it has not changed the short-term picture yet.