Dogecoin price has slipped back into the headlines, but mostly because the market is struggling to decide what comes next. With the Federal Reserve sharply divided on whether to cut interest rates in December, risk assets are catching the heat. DOGE is showing that tension clearly on the chart. The price is grinding lower, volatility is shrinking, and sentiment feels muted. This has sparked a bigger question across the community: is Dogecoin at risk of crashing to zero? The daily chart you shared gives a much clearer picture than the noise. DOGE price is definitely in a prolonged downtrend, but nowhere near a terminal collapse.
How the Fed’s December Confusion Is Bleeding Into Dogecoin Price Prediction
The Fed debate is basically tugging the entire market in two different directions. One group of Fed officials believes the labor market is cooling fast enough to justify a December rate cut. The other group is still fixated on inflation sitting closer to three percent, well above the two percent target. Instead of reducing uncertainty, every new piece of economic data is getting interpreted differently depending on which side you’re already on. That confusion is spilling directly into risk assets.
Traders saw the probability of a December rate cut crash to thirty-nine percent after Powell’s comments. A day later, John Williams suggested a dovish stance and pushed expectations back above seventy percent. When markets whip back and forth like this, capital tends to move away from high-beta assets, and meme coins are always the first to feel the pressure. DOGE’s slow drift downward mirrors this instability almost perfectly.
What the DOGE Price Chart Is Telling Us Right Now
The daily Heikin-Ashi structure shows a market still under the grip of sellers. DOGE continues to hover along the lower Bollinger Band, which is a classic sign that the downtrend has not finished. A true bottom usually comes with separation between price and the lower band, tightening volatility, and a move above the mid-band, none of which are visible yet. The midline itself, sitting around 0.163, has turned into reliable resistance. Every attempt DOGE made earlier in November to push above it failed, confirming that sellers still dominate.
The current Dogecoin price around 0.138 is sitting right on the first major support zone. The chart marks several projected levels below, roughly in the 0.135 to 0.115 region. These zones match earlier consolidation levels and align with the band deviations, making them realistic downside areas if macro conditions worsen. The long liquidation wick from early October is still important, too. That candle shows what peak panic looks like on DOGE. Since price hasn’t revisited that region, the market hasn’t entered pure capitulation yet.
Will DOGE Price Actually Crash to $0?
Despite the noise, zero is not a realistic outcome. DOGE price still carries heavy liquidity, deep integration across exchanges, and a strong retail community that never fully disappears. Elon Musk’s indirect association keeps a speculative layer alive, even when the broader sentiment weakens. Meme coins are fragile, but they don’t go to zero unless the underlying chain fails, liquidity evaporates, or exchanges delist the asset entirely. None of those conditions are even close to happening.
The more realistic risk is a deeper slide into the lower support areas. DOGE is structurally weak, but structurally weak is not the same as existential collapse. The market is moving defensively, not abandoning the asset outright.
What Happens If the Fed Holds Rates in December?
If the Fed decides to hold, markets will interpret it as a sign that inflation remains sticky. That pushes the “higher-for-longer” narrative further into 2026. When borrowing costs stay high, liquidity remains tight. Under those circumstances, assets like DOGE tend to lose ground as traders shift toward stability. In that scenario, a drop into the deeper support regions around 0.128 or even 0.115 becomes very likely. Those zones align well with your chart projections and the broader trend.
What Happens If the Fed Cuts Rates?
A cut would flip the sentiment almost instantly. Even a small rate reduction signals a shift toward easing conditions in 2026. That kind of macro tailwind typically boosts meme coins because retail traders regain confidence quickly. If that happens, DOGE could reclaim 0.15 first and make another attempt at the 0.163 midline. A sustained move above that level would show the beginning of a trend reversal rather than a simple relief bounce.
Final Dogecoin Price Prediction: Weak, but Not Doomed
DOGE is approaching a critical zone, and the December Fed meeting is likely to determine whether the next move is a deeper correction or the start of a recovery. A crash to zero is off the table. A slide toward the next support bands is far more likely. A macro-driven bounce is possible if the Fed turns dovish. A real trend reversal, however, requires DOGE to flip above the 0.163 mid-band with convincing strength.