SMQKE (@SMQKEDQG), a well-known crypto researcher on X, recently shared an observation on XRP’s future supply trajectory while referencing a document from WisdomTree.
In his post, he attached a report excerpt that compares the issuance schedules of Bitcoin and XRP. The highlighted section stated, “Bitcoin should reach its max supply of 21 million units in approximately 2140, and XRP should reach its max supply in the next few years.” This comparison places XRP in a unique position within the digital asset market.
While Bitcoin’s issuance extends well over a century into the future, XRP is nearing its supply ceiling much sooner. According to the WisdomTree document, transaction fees on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) are systematically burned, creating a deflationary effect. This mechanism has already removed approximately 12 million XRP from circulation since inception, and the process continues with every transaction.
‼WISDOMTREE: THERE WILL BE A SUPPLY SHOCK FOR XRP BEFORE BITCOIN‼
“Bitcoin should reach its max supply of 21 million units in approximately 2140, and XRP should reach its max supply IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS.” 📈🎯🔥
This is documented below. 📝👇 pic.twitter.com/Mthhh60Wbk
— SMQKE (@SMQKEDQG) September 20, 2025
XRP’s Scarcity and Market Impact
The WisdomTree piece also mentions Ripple’s escrow mechanism, describing the monthly release of 1 billion XRP. These tokens enter the circulating supply unless unused by Ripple, at which point they are placed into new escrow contracts.
Ripple usually locks 700 to 800 million tokens after each release, and this process will continue until the remaining supply becomes fully liquid. After that, burned fees will serve as the only supply variable.
This dynamic means XRP’s supply will not expand indefinitely. Instead, supply will contract gradually due to the burning mechanism. The document stresses that “as long as XRP demand grows or even remains the same, XRP scarcity should be positive for XRP price.” This potential tightening of supply distinguishes XRP from Bitcoin, which will continue its gradual mining‑based issuance until 2140.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
Comparing Both Supply Models
WisdomTree emphasized that both assets are scarce cryptocurrencies but with different issuance schedules. XRP’s supply ceiling is approaching quickly, and XRP will experience a supply shock much earlier, giving it more time to grow before Bitcoin’s supply starts dwindling.
Furthermore, XRP operates within a framework designed for efficient, low‑cost transactions. The WisdomTree report notes that XRP fees are fractions of a cent, an aspect directly linked to its role in payments and settlements. This utility‑driven model, combined with a deflationary supply schedule, makes XRP superior both as a functional and scarce asset.
The conclusion of the WisdomTree article frames XRP as a complement to Bitcoin. By holding both, investors gain exposure to Bitcoin’s established reputation as a store of value and XRP’s efficiency in payments. The report argues that this combination allows investors to balance risk while benefiting from the distinct qualities each asset provides.