The XRP market has entered one of its most pivotal moments in recent memory. Investor sentiment is divided between those holding for the long term and others debating whether to exit after weeks of volatile price action.
The debate intensified when prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto shared a data-driven breakdown of the current XRP setup, giving the market a quantified view of what could happen next.
His post, which has since sparked wide discussion across the crypto community, blends chart analysis, cycle comparisons, and probability-based forecasting — offering traders a strategic framework rather than emotional speculation.
#XRP – Hold or Sell? (57% Vs 43%)
Hey everyone! I know some of you don’t really care about the current price ranges and are thinking long-term, like 10 years or more! If that's you, just keep doing what you're doing. I’m with you on that!
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 15, 2025
The Technical Picture
At the heart of Egrag’s latest analysis lies the Descending Broadening Wedge, a complex chart pattern formed when price action expands within downward-sloping trendlines. The formation usually signifies increasing volatility ahead of a decisive breakout.
According to Egrag, XRP’s wedge currently carries a 57 percent probability of breaking upward and a 43 percent chance of moving lower. The odds are close, but they lean slightly bullish — suggesting potential recovery once key resistance levels give way.
Recent trading data reinforces this uncertainty. XRP continues to hover between $2.40 and $2.60, levels that have repeatedly acted as both support and resistance. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of this wedge could mark the beginning of a strong rally, while a failure to hold the $2.40 floor might invite deeper retracement.
Technical analysts across major trading platforms echo this sentiment, noting that volume and momentum will ultimately determine the direction of the next decisive move.
Comparing Market Cycles and Long-Term Targets
Egrag Crypto’s outlook extends beyond short-term price swings. He compares the current market cycle to the explosive 2021 run, when XRP gained nearly 1,700 percent from its lows to its peak. In this cycle, the token has so far risen about 1,160 percent, leading Egrag to argue that it remains undervalued relative to past performance.
If XRP were to mirror the 2021 trajectory, he projects a potential target near $5.20, with extended goals between $9 and $20, and a long-shot top around $27 if bullish momentum fully unfolds.
This analysis sits alongside other market commentaries suggesting that XRP’s institutional demand and cross-border payment use cases could amplify its cyclical performance. The broader trend also shows consistent inflows into XRP-based investment products, signaling that some institutions still view the asset as undervalued despite recent volatility.
The Decision Point: Hold, Sell, or Wait It Out
Egrag’s stance is clear: he is not selling. His conviction rests on both technical and cyclical factors, believing that current price levels may precede the strongest phase of the rally. Yet he acknowledges that for those uncomfortable with risk, trimming positions or taking profits near resistance is a rational move.
The choice between holding and selling ultimately depends on time horizon and tolerance for volatility.
For long-term holders who view XRP as a decade-scale investment, the current turbulence may be little more than noise. For active traders, however, discipline and timing remain crucial. As Egrag Crypto notes, “If you’re in the 43 percent camp, sell now and stop stressing. If you’re in the 57 percent camp, hold for the breakout.”
In short, XRP’s future hinges on which side of that probability line plays out first — and whether investors have the patience, or courage, to stay the course.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent the opinion of the publication. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk.