XRP is entering December under heavy pressure, trading near $2.02, as the broader market shows signs of exhaustion. Despite this downturn, analysts remain focused on long-term structural indicators, many of which now point toward a powerful altseason setup forming beneath the surface.
XRP’s 45-minute chart highlights a sharp decline from late-November highs, mirroring Bitcoin and Ethereum’s simultaneous pullback. Volatility is still elevated at 6.41%, and XRP continues to trade below both the 50-day SMA ($2.35) and 200-day SMA ($2.65), confirming persistent downward momentum in the short term.
CryptoBasic: XRP Meets Resistance, But the Next Altseason Could Be “10X Bigger”
A widely shared chart from TheCryptoBasic shows XRP, along with the entire altcoin market, reaching a decisive area of long-term support versus Bitcoin. The chart compares three historic altseasons:
- •Altseason I (2017)
- •Altseason II (2021)
- •Projected Altseason III (2026)
The visual projection highlights that previous altseasons followed prolonged periods of sideways declines, similar to today’s structure. Analysts suggest that if the pattern repeats, the next rotation of capital into altcoins could exceed the scale of both previous cycles.
#XRP Meets Key Resistance but Forecasts Call for “10X Bigger” Rally in Coming Alt Season. #Ripple🧵🧵🧵 pic.twitter.com/5cvOZ3NfJL
— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) December 1, 2025
The tweet emphasizes that XRP has met major resistance, yet models anticipate a “10X bigger” rally once the broad altcoin cycle flips upwards.
XRP Price Action: Deep Pullback Into Psychological Support
The TradingView chart shows XRP cascading from above $2.20 to just above $2.00, where buyers have attempted to stabilize the decline. Trading volume spiked aggressively during the sell-off, indicating that whales and high-frequency traders participated heavily in the move.
Meanwhile, CoinCodex metrics show:
- •Current Price: $2.02
- •14-Day RSI: 39.63 (Neutral)
- •Volatility: 6.4% (High)
The neutral RSI suggests XRP is not yet in oversold territory, leaving room for further volatility before major trend reversals.
Market Behavior: Stocks Recover, Crypto Lags
A separate market snapshot notes that U.S. stock indices have fully recovered, while Bitcoin dropped around -7% and major altcoins saw -10% intraday declines. This divergence is unusual: in past cycles, crypto often moves with risk-on equities, not against them.
Analysts now debate two possibilities:
- •Bitcoin is front-running an equity market downturn, pricing in macro weakness ahead of time.
- •Crypto is forming a hidden accumulation zone, potentially setting up for a sharp multi-week rally once volatility stabilizes.
Whichever scenario plays out, such divergence historically marks major inflection points.
Altseason Outlook: Structural Indicators Build Beneath the Fear
Despite price weakness, long-range charts show that the overall altcoin market is approaching the same structural lows seen before past explosive cycles. In both earlier periods, altseason began when:
- •BTC dominance peaked
- •Alt/BTC ratios bottomed
- •Market sentiment entered deep fear
- •Liquidity conditions began improving
Every one of those conditions is vibrating again in the data.
The CryptoBasic chart highlights a vast potential expansion zone for Altseason III, dwarfing the previous two cycles. If macro conditions align, rate cuts, ETF-driven liquidity, and renewed retail activity, analysts expect capital to rotate into major altcoins such as XRP at unprecedented scale.
Final Outlook
XRP is facing a challenging short-term environment, trading under bearish sentiment and elevated volatility. However, long-term models and multi-cycle charts suggest the foundation of the next altseason is quietly forming. If historical patterns repeat, XRP may be positioned for one of the strongest bull phases in its history once market momentum shifts.