XRP's trajectory this year has been characterized by persistent efforts from Ripple to invigorate its momentum. The company has demonstrated a commitment to continuous expansion and real-world adoption, with the recent launch of its Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) marking a significant step.
Insights shared by TheCryptoBasic Page on X highlight a single factor with the potential to drive XRP's price higher: the growing activity surrounding ETFs.
XRP Price Movement Tied to ETF Performance
Despite increasing discussions around ETFs, Ripple's price action has remained relatively stable within a familiar range. Notably, the first pure spot XRP ETF, launched by Canary Capital, debuted with impressive figures, attracting $245 million on its initial day. This performance placed the Ripple token in a prominent spotlight, with TheCryptoBasic Page on X observing that this figure surpassed the $111.6 million that entered IBIT on its first day.
While XRP token inflows saw a slight decrease on the second day, they remained positive, totaling approximately $27 million. By the end of its second day, XRPC held 120.69 million XRP, valued at $275 million. Although Ripple currently trails behind established players like Grayscale and Bitwise, an unusual development has occurred.
TheCryptoBasic Page on X reported that several other issuers have already submitted filings to the SEC for additional spot products. Companies such as Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, CoinShares, and WisdomTree are seeking approval for their respective entries.
The potential impact of multiple ETF products consistently acquiring XRP each month is a subject of considerable interest. TheCryptoBasic Page on X explored a scenario where seven funds, including XRPC, collectively attract $800 million monthly for a year. Such an influx would result in the purchase of $9.6 billion worth of XRP within that timeframe.
Given that XRPC already garnered $275 million in just two days, an average of $800 million across twenty trading days appears feasible, though not guaranteed. Ripple's supporters are also taking note of CEO Steven McClurg's projection that inflows could reach $10 billion in a single month. While this figure remains speculative, it provides a benchmark for assessing market appetite.
Amid the anticipation, we recently assessed how much impact they would make on the XRP price if these six products became successful, not just on their first trading days. Specifically, if all seven products, including XRPC, bring in $800 million every month for a year, they…
— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) November 19, 2025Ripple Price Reaction Influenced by Market Multipliers
The capital entering ETF products does not always translate directly to market movements on a one-to-one basis. Analysts often employ a "market cap multiplier" to gauge how inflows amplify valuations. Dom, a recognized market observer, cited a past instance where $61 million in inflows reportedly led to a $16.6 billion increase in market capitalization, indicating a 272x multiplier.
TheCryptoBasic Page on X suggested applying a more conservative 100x multiplier for XRP's valuation. Under this assumption, a $9.6 billion inflow could potentially add $960 billion to XRP's valuation. Considering XRP's current market capitalization of approximately $136 billion, a surge to $1.095 trillion would elevate the Ripple token's value towards $18.3, representing a gain of roughly 720 percent from a price near $2.23.
Analyst Dark Defender previously projected an $18 target for XRP when it was trading around $0.51, based on Elliott Wave structure. These predictions are gaining renewed attention as ETF activity intensifies.
XRP Token May Require Time for Significant Price Reaction
Ripple's price performance following the ETF launch aligns with typical ETF market behavior. A period of significant anticipation is often followed by initial dips before the pattern of consistent inflows begins to stabilize.
XRP is currently experiencing this phase. TheCryptoBasic Page on X continues to monitor these dynamics closely, recognizing the substantial power of ETF volume to influence market direction over extended periods. Ripple may witness substantial price movements once ETF cycles stabilize, although the exact timing remains unpredictable.
Ripple's ongoing initiatives this year underscore its determination. A combination of robust ETF flows, gradual adoption, and continuous development could ultimately propel XRP to a more favorable position. The unfolding narrative of Ripple's next chapter holds significant promise and warrants continued observation.