Market cycles often shift during moments of silence. XRP is now in one of those silent phases where price compression hides building energy. Traders who study long-term structures believe this compression may be a precursor to a major expansion phase. The debate is simple: Will patience now offer access to a much larger multi-year move?
A Macro Thesis Anchored in Clarity and Structure
XRP’s macro appeal has grown since the legal battle with the SEC ended in August 2025. The conclusion of that case removed a long-standing source of uncertainty for institutions. With the legal cloud gone, investors now focus on utility, adoption, and long-term liquidity flows.
This shift supports the argument that XRP is no longer a short-term speculation but a large-scale macro position.
#XRP – The Macro Trade :
The chart suggests a simple reality:
The worst-case scenario appears to be a return toward $1.00, while the upside potential remains significantly larger and there is not limits.
Is it worth risking a long-term position for a possible… pic.twitter.com/hhcKPGwzYk
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 7, 2025
Egrag Crypto’s Bull-Flag Framework
Technical analyst Egrag Crypto highlights a clear monthly bull-flag structure. The structure follows a simple sequence: breakout, retest, and continuation. The pattern sits inside a long-term channel that has guided XRP’s movement for years. Egrag identifies a bull-flag target near $20.
He also maps the top of “Line 1” around $35. His long-term “Line 2” projection extends toward the $200 region. These projections represent possibilities, not certainties, yet they show a strong asymmetry. The potential upside appears far larger than the possible downside.
Current Market Position and Technical Context
XRP is currently trading near $2.03. The token remains above the 21-month EMA, which supports a bullish structure. Egrag notes that compression often precedes expansion. The present consolidation fits that narrative well.
Sentiment fluctuates because recent sessions delivered mixed momentum signals. Fear readings remain elevated, yet accumulation continues among long-term holders. This combination suggests a market preparing for a decisive move.
We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1
— TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025
The Key Macro Risk Level at $1.00
Egrag outlines one critical risk level for the monthly chart. The level is the $1.00 support zone. As long as XRP stays above that level, the macro bullish outlook remains intact. A monthly close below $1.00 would invalidate much of the current structure.
Such a close would force analysts to reassess the long-term trend. This single level offers a clear guide for disciplined risk management.
Long-Term Positioning and Strategic Implications
Macro traders prefer setups with limited downside and large upside potential. XRP’s current structure satisfies those conditions for many analysts. Long-term holders often choose to keep their positions during periods of compression.
Some even plan to add during deep retests if they appear. Traders who want confirmation may wait for a clean breakout and retest. Institutions may scale gradually because the chart now aligns with regulatory clarity.
In conclusion, Egrag Crypto’s analysis frames XRP as a macro trade defined by patience and structure. The token sits in a tight compression that could lead to strong expansion. The $1.00 level remains the decisive line for long-term validation. Above that level, the macro narrative stays bullish. Below it, the entire outlook changes.